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Reality Check: How Wall Street Sees Korn/Ferry

Tags: The Decisive Moment, Balance Sheet, Downturn, Korn/Ferry, Whitehead Mann, Gary Burnison, Balance Sheets, Leadership, Financial Statements, Financial Accounting, Finance, Management, Headhunting, Wall Street, Acquisition, Merger, M&A, Mark Marcon, Robert W. Baird and Company, Cait Murphy

Recent Korn/Ferry research found that global executives are slightly more chipper about the state of the economy: 40 percent said it was recovering, compared to just 13 percent in March. But they are also still feeling bruised, with a plurality describing conditions as a “severe recession.”

Will these green shoots of optimism (or at least less dire pessimism, translate into performance at Korn/Ferry, the world’s largest headhunter? That is a tougher question. Korn/Ferry has lagged the stock market over the past five years.

Putting itself in position to beat the cycle was part of Korn/Ferry’s thinking when it decided to buy Whitehead Mann, a prestigious London-based headhunter. Korn/Ferry believed that enlarging its global footprint was both a hedge against localized recessions and an important part of a long-term growth strategy. Is this plausible? Mark Marcon, a senior research analyst specializing in human capital services at Milwaukee-based Robert W. Baird and Company, has been watching Korn/Ferry and its competitors for years.

Here is his take:

Key Stats

  • Ticker: KFY (NYSE)
  • Geography: Based in Los Angeles; more than 80 offices in 40 countries.
  • Major competitors: Egon Zehnder, Heidrick & Struggles, Russell Reynolds Associates and Spencer Stuart.
  • Fiscal 2009 revenues: $638.2 million; from North America: 53 percent.
  • Fiscal 2008 revenues: $791 million
  • Number of executive searches, fiscal 2009: 9,200
  • Full-time employees: 2,100
  • Surprising factoid: Non-search services, such as consulting and leadership development, account for a quarter of revenue.
  • Other Korn/Ferry brands: Futurestep; Lominger International; Lore International Institute; The Newman Group.
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Is the Whitehead Mann Acquisition Likely to Succeed?

I think [CEO Gary] Burnison’s sense is even if the worst isn’t completely over, the worst of the worst has probably passed and the longer-term trend is more likely to be positive rather than negative. So this is not a bad time to take make a strategic acquisition if the price paid is low enough to reflect a challenging operating environment. Whitehead Mann is a blue-chip name but the firm was deteriorating due to a combination of the very challenging operating environment and reduced funding by Och-Ziff, the firm that had taken it private almost three years ago [Whitehead Mann went private in 2006 in a management/private-equity-funded 26 million buyout].

In a professional services firm, the primary asset is the people. Due to a variety of factors related to the combination of ownership structure and demand environment, some strong producers were leaving Whitehead Mann. Och-Ziff realized it wasn’t best positioned to preserve or build the franchise; it was losing value. Korn/Ferry, on the other hand, is in an excellent position to add value: It can take their consultants and plug them into an established platform.

Hindsight will prove whether the deal was well timed or premature. But the idea behind it was not surprising. Korn/Ferry did have a bit of a hole in London relative to the rest of its international footprint, and also a low level of exposure to financial services. In both respects, Whitehead Mann plugs what was seen as a strategic hole. If the people at Whitehead Mann contribute anything close to what they have in the past — and obviously, the future could be different — this has the possibility of being a good deal.

How Well, Compared to the Competition, Did Korn/Ferry Adjust to the Downturn?

Management, and Gary Burnison in particular, were far better than average in foreseeing early signs of downturn, and putting in place a plan to navigate through it. In fact, Korn/Ferry was the first company in the employment space to discuss signs of a downturn, discussing it publicly as early as 2007. They came up with a game plan and identified areas where they could be more efficient, looked at where they could cut costs without hurting revenue, and evaluated their personnel based on productivity.

Where they made a mistake, as almost everyone did, was in misjudging the severity of the recession. They did not anticipate it would be as brutal as it was. But they adjusted quickly and have done a good job in terms of maintaining a strong balance sheet. They have not had huge losses, which was something we saw under different management during the previous downturn.

Evaluate Gary Burnison’s Leadership.

Gary is a good leader. He has a strong grasp of the numbers, a sense of the cyclical nature of this business, and a good perspective of how to add value. He came in during the depths of the last downturn, when the company was in financial trouble. He was part of the team that turned things around. In part because of that, he appreciated how much revenue could decline. During this downturn, he has helped to materially reduce expenses and has preserved the balance sheet.

What Are Korn/Ferry’s Strengths?

The key strengths are its franchise value, global leadership position [Korn/Ferry is the largest executive search provider in the industry], its geographic and practice diversity, and its strong balance sheet. Stability in terms of its long-term plans and guidance from its board has also proven helpful. Korn/Ferry has done well in terms of getting into ancillary areas related to executive search, such as leadership development services. It was one of the first to do that, and is now being emulated.

What Are Korn/Ferry’s Weaknesses?

It is a bit behind in terms of brand perception for the very highest-end searches: CEO searches at Fortune 1000 companies. Most industry observers view Heidrick & Struggles and Spencer Stuart as more prestigious names.

In addition, as is the case with all top-end firms, there is internal tension regarding the split of the economic profits — the firm or the consultant. In the highest end of the executive search world, consultants can be prima donnas who will demand to get paid even if the firm is not doing particularly well. That’s a difficult management challenge for almost every high-end professional services firm, not just Korn/Ferry.

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